Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 106.075880 122.170391 141.222474 165.820227 197.321196 2.371697e+02 292.879531
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 84.048108 103.309244 128.579824 165.465549 220.438347 3.042051e+02 453.480103
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 72.127545 92.108856 120.006803 164.072934 237.036617 3.652215e+02 647.772957
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 63.384365 83.130159 111.947396 160.212264 247.000385 4.189754e+02 883.484428
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 57.507097 77.125275 106.855623 159.283302 260.996756 4.879522e+02 1257.374731
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 53.237376 72.813018 103.490924 160.207438 278.538107 5.767422e+02 1899.834796
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 48.618609 67.369671 97.426276 154.833635 280.988655 6.296920e+02 2589.978100
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 46.845461 66.154727 98.148961 162.324371 315.266969 8.088290e+02 5328.623637
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 43.451297 61.955785 93.142868 157.328798 317.199844 8.819448e+02 8328.808021
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 41.343183 59.669058 91.228859 158.372870 335.712017 1.047586e+03 19808.966099
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 39.054253 56.870851 88.048617 156.061060 344.070965 1.183368e+03 54953.921219
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 38.340097 56.682071 89.669909 164.843897 390.521671 1.633887e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 38.585395 58.394823 95.584707 186.556679 501.539804 3.187776e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 36.547172 55.860508 92.792495 186.005414 531.082916 4.308639e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.656582 53.416419 89.856981 184.358558 555.894948 5.826986e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.732908 50.753057 86.151812 179.775986 564.791511 7.385332e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 31.268182 48.836947 83.828836 178.674850 591.887207 1.080007e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 30.098333 47.387891 82.353045 179.770294 633.635811 1.882021e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.520668 45.047211 78.673571 173.407779 627.236929 2.387050e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.066480 44.847323 79.762365 182.281642 729.277030 1.209052e+05 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.734533 42.834498 76.508421 176.359779 723.481019 2.260497e+05 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.924668 41.806407 75.444025 177.596164 775.706423 3.331703e+07 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 24.949977 40.390144 73.339714 174.859445 794.420955 NaN NaN